Coinbase Global (COIN) Stock: Downgrade Ahead of Q1 Earnings Amid Volume Concerns

By: coin central|2025/05/07 20:45:01
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TLDRCoinbase received a downgrade from Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. ahead of its Q1 earnings report on May 8Analysts expect Q1 earnings of $1.87 per share on revenue of $2.07 billionCOIN stock has lost over 20% this year due to weaker trading volumes and regulatory concernsStablecoin legislation could be a potential catalyst for future performanceOptions traders anticipate a 7.81% stock price move in either direction following earningsCoinbase Global is facing mixed signals as it prepares to release its first-quarter 2025 earnings report on May 8. The cryptocurrency exchange recently received a downgrade from Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co., with analyst Gus Galá changing his rating from Buy to Neutral.Galá removed his $275 price target in what he described as a “tactical move” before the earnings announcement. He expects either an earnings miss or downward estimate revisions, which could create better buying opportunities later.Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)The stock has been climbing since hitting a low of $151.47 in April. However, Galá believes short-term caution makes sense right now.Trading volume appears to have improved in May compared to April. Yet limited data makes analysts hesitant to make firm predictions.Source: Main Street DataWall Street expects Coinbase to report earnings of $1.87 per share. This represents a 57% decrease from the same period last year.Revenue is projected to reach $2.07 billion. This would be a 29% increase year-over-year.The company has a strong track record with earnings reports. It has only missed estimates twice in the past nine quarters.Rosenblatt analyst Chris Brendler maintains a Buy rating on COIN stock. However, he recently lowered his price target from $290 to $260.Brendler reduced his Q1 estimates due to weaker trading volumes in April. He also cited cautious signs from Robinhood’s recent earnings call.Stablecoin Legislation Could Be KeyWhile he expects strong revenue from stablecoins, Brendler worries that non-trading blockchain revenue might miss company forecasts. Still, he believes this weakness was mostly anticipated.The company can cut costs if needed to protect profits. Brendler remains optimistic about Coinbase’s long-term prospects.He expects crypto activity to increase later this year. Growing non-trading revenue could help boost the stock’s value over time.Coinbase is more than just a digital currency exchange. The company co-founded the stablecoin USDC, which is backed by physical U.S. dollars.Stablecoins may gain greater importance as U.S. cryptocurrency legislation evolves. Galá points to stablecoin legislation as a potential catalyst for Coinbase.Currently, the GENIUS Act is in focus. This bill calls for supervision at both state and federal levels. It offers a less restrictive framework for stablecoin issuers than the competing STABLE Act.The GENIUS Act faced setbacks over the weekend. Nine of the 60 votes needed to begin vote-taking were lost after several senators changed their positions.A group of pro-crypto Democrats expressed concerns about the bill’s current form. They called for stronger provisions on money laundering and national security.Galá would prefer a bill with greater bipartisan support. He believes the current GENIUS Act risks creating complex regulations.Meanwhile, the STABLE Act has advanced out of the House Committee on Financial Services. This bill would require stablecoin issuers to obtain banking licenses.Coinbase has been exploring the banking license option. Galá sees the STABLE Act as a possible “net benefit to Coinbase” and an “x-factor” for its future.The company is scheduled to announce its Q1 2025 results tomorrow, May 8. Options traders are preparing for volatility, expecting a 7.81% move in either direction following the report.Overall, analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus on COIN stock. This is based on eleven Buys, ten Holds, and one Sell rating in the past three months. The average price target of $270.85 suggests 37.56% upside potential.Shares of the crypto exchange were down 1.3% to $196.91 on Tuesday, while major indexes also declined slightly.The post Coinbase Global (COIN) Stock: Downgrade Ahead of Q1 Earnings Amid Volume Concerns appeared first on CoinCentral.

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Sun Valley Releases 2025 Financial Report: Bitcoin Mining Revenue Reaches $670 Million, Accelerating Transformation to AI Infrastructure Platform


On March 16, 2026, in Dallas, Texas, USA, CanGu Company (New York Stock Exchange code: CANG, hereinafter referred to as "CanGu" or the "Company") today announced its unaudited financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. As a btc-42">bitcoin mining enterprise relying on a globally operated layout and dedicated to building an integrated energy and AI computing power platform, CanGu is actively advancing its business transformation and infrastructure development.


2025 Full Year and Fourth Quarter Financial and Operational Highlights


• Financial Performance:

Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $688.1 million, with $179.5 million in the fourth quarter.

Bitcoin mining business revenue for the full year was $675.5 million, with $172.4 million in the fourth quarter.

Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $24.5 million, while the fourth quarter was -$156.3 million.


• Mining Operations and Costs:

A total of 6,594.6 bitcoins were mined throughout the year, averaging 18.07 bitcoins per day; of which 1,718.3 bitcoins were mined in the fourth quarter, averaging 18.68 bitcoins per day.

The average mining cost for the full year (excluding miner depreciation) was $79,707 per bitcoin, and for the fourth quarter, it was $84,552;

The all-in sustaining costs were $97,272 and $106,251 per bitcoin, respectively.

As of the end of December 2025, the company has cumulatively produced 7,528.4 bitcoins since entering the bitcoin mining business.


• Strategic Progress:

The company has completed the termination of the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) program and transitioned to a direct listing on the NYSE to enhance information transparency and align with its strategic direction, with a long-term goal of expanding its investor base.


CEO Paul Yu stated: "2025 marked the company's first full year as a bitcoin mining enterprise, characterized by rapid execution and structural reshaping. We completed a comprehensive adjustment of our asset system and established a globally distributed mining network. Additionally, the company introduced a new management team, further strengthening our capabilities and competitive advantage in the digital asset and energy infrastructure space. The completion of the NYSE direct listing and USD pricing also signifies our transformation into a global AI infrastructure company."


"As we enter 2026, the company will continue to optimize its balance sheet structure and enhance operational efficiency and cost resilience through adjustments to the miner portfolio. At the same time, we are advancing our strategic transformation into an AI infrastructure provider. Leveraging EcoHash, we will utilize our capabilities in scalable computing power and energy networks to provide cost-effective AI inference solutions. The relevant site transformations and product development are progressing simultaneously, and the company is well-positioned to sustain its execution in the new phase."


The company's Chief Financial Officer, Michael Zhang, stated: "By 2025, the company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth through its scaled mining operations. Despite recording a net loss of $452.8 million from ongoing operations, mainly due to one-time transformation costs and market-driven fair value adjustments, the company, from a financial perspective, will reduce its leverage, optimize its Bitcoin reserve strategy and liquidity management, introduce new capital to strengthen its financial position, and seize investment opportunities in high-potential areas such as AI infrastructure while navigating market volatility."


Fourth Quarter 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue


The total revenue for the fourth quarter was $1.795 billion. Of this, the Bitcoin mining business contributed $1.724 billion in revenue, generating 1,718.3 Bitcoins during the quarter. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $4.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total operating costs and expenses for the fourth quarter amounted to $4.56 billion, primarily attributed to expenses related to the Bitcoin mining business, as well as impairment of mining machines and fair value losses on Bitcoin collateral receivables.


This includes:

· Cost of Revenue (excluding depreciation): $1.553 billion

· Cost of Revenue (depreciation): $38.1 million

· Operating Expenses: $9.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Mining Machine Impairment Loss: $81.4 million

· Fair Value Loss on Bitcoin Collateral Receivables: $171.4 million


Profit Situation


The operating loss for the fourth quarter was $276.6 million, a significant increase from a loss of $0.7 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to the downward trend in Bitcoin prices.


The net loss from ongoing operations was $285 million, compared to a net profit of $2.4 million in the same period last year.


The adjusted EBITDA was -$156.3 million, compared to $2.4 million in the same period last year.


Full Year 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue

The total revenue for the full year was $6.881 billion. Of this, the revenue from the Bitcoin mining business was $6.755 billion, with a total output of 6,594.6 Bitcoins for the year. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $9.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total annual operating costs and expenses amount to $1.1 billion.


Specifically, they include:

· Revenue Cost (excluding depreciation): $543.3 million

· Revenue Cost (depreciation): $116.6 million

· Operating Expenses: $28.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Miner Impairment Loss: $338.3 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable Fair Value Change Loss: $96.5 million


Profitability


The full-year operating loss is $437.1 million. The continuing operations net loss is $452.8 million, while in 2024, there was a net profit of $4.8 million.


The 2025 non-GAAP adjusted net profit is $24.5 million (compared to $5.7 million in 2024). This measure does not include share-based compensation expenses; refer to "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for details.


Financial Position


As of December 31, 2025, the company's key assets and liabilities are as follows:


· Cash and Cash Equivalents: $41.2 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable (Non-current, related party): $663.0 million

· Miner Net Value: $248.7 million

· Long-Term Debt (related party): $557.6 million


In February 2026, the company sold 4,451 bitcoins and repaid a portion of related-party long-term debt to reduce financial leverage and optimize the asset-liability structure.


Stock Repurchase


As per the stock repurchase plan disclosed on March 13, 2025, as of December 31, 2025, the company had repurchased a total of 890,155 shares of Class A common stock for approximately $1.2 million.


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